79% win rate
I am Alex Acunia. I am a professional tipster, bookmaker, husband and father of 3 great children. I was born in Setubal, Portugal and moved to Spain when I was 12 years old. I lived in Valencia for 18 years. When I was 30 I moved to Stoke on Trent, where I met my wife.
Sports, especially football, was a great passion of mine and due to an injury I couldn't follow my dream to become a professional player. I was always passionate about football, teams, and knew hundreds of professional players on the top of my head.
When I was in school I discovered betting for the first time and this was something fascinating for me. I was gambling with my friends on different football events and lost thousands of euros trying to become rich overnight. As time went by I started to think that there has to be a way to make money gambling, not just losing all the time.
I got to work for different betting agencies in Spain and the UK. The main reason I moved to Uk was that I got an offer to work as odds analyst bet 365. This is the second biggest online betting agency in the world and it was the chance of my life. I arrived in Stoke and started my work for Bet365 and soon discovered that making money from gambling was almost impossible. You will see in a minute why I said ‘’almost impossible’’.
After 15 years working as a bookmaker and more than 25 years of betting I can say with the hand on my heart that it’s extremely hard to make constant profit, but YES, you can make money from betting, gambling, etc. Please read carefully the information below!!!
Does the bookie always win?
There are a number of ways that bookmakers make money, but the key one is done by adding a cut into every bet that they ever accept. Let’s say that you’re betting on the toss of a coin, with only two possible outcomes. The fact that it can either be heads or tails means that you should really be offered odds of Evens on both outcomes, but that’s not how a bookie would mark up their book on the event. Instead, they’ll offer you odds that incorporate a slight cut for them regardless of the outcome, meaning that they are always still in the black on the bets that they accept. Unlike in the casino, where the Edge is built-in to every wager placed, things work slightly differently in the world of sports betting. The vig that is taken from the losing side of a bet can be anywhere from 2% to 40%, but there’s always a vigorish to be taken. On top of that, bookies will always target the markets that offer the most liquidity. It’s why the likes of Premier League and Champions League football matches are promoted so heavily by bookmakers compared to a random sport like water polo. The various companies also offer things such as accumulators and the ability to Cash Out your bet, which results in them taking another cut of wagers that help them stay in the black. Of course, the word ‘always’ is slightly misleading here. Punters will always win the occasional bet against a bookmaker, which is why people keep returning to place wagers time and again. Bookies work hard to balance their books, however, which ensures that they will always see a profit even if they lose the occasional bet. Only on days when every single favourite wins will bookies see their profit take a huge hit.
Even when punters are successful, they’ll often find that the bookmakers that they place their bets with simply limit or freeze their accounts. It’s not right and the likes of the United Kingdom Gambling Commission try to stop it from happening, but it does happen. When it does, successful punters have to take their business to another bookie, which the original one won’t mind because it means it’s not them losing money.
Bookmakers have the most advanced tools, softwares, inside news and they are always one step ahead of us. If we win today, they will do everything they can to get us back and take our money back. Sometimes they will let you win and they know you will revisit them, lose all winnings and lose even more money. All bookmakers have softwares designed to make a clear profile of the customer and based on that they can send you offers and attract you back.
What are the ingredients to make constant profit?
The favourite doesn’t always win!
Successful betting all comes down to you and your actions.Patience and discipline are the foundations of a winning account. Patience in betting equates to smart gambling which in turn leads to success. None of us want to lose, especially to the bookies.
There were many situations where the underdog came out on top. Bayern sometimes lost to Freiburg, Liverpool sometimes lost to Watford, Real Madrid sometimes lost to Osasuna. It can always happen in football.
Even the best teams in the world have a bad day from time to time, and if you get inspired, really nice profits can come out from those surprises.
Good tips come from in depth research, analysis of betting statistics, odds variations, forms and players injuries, team morale, match importance, suspensions and a lot of other factors (closed forums, inside info, etc). I worked hard, made mistakes, learned and after many years of experience I developed software, algorithms, and strategies in order to have consistent profit month after month. I have over 25 years experience in betting, worked for prestigious betting agencies and i have thousands of matches analysed and bet on. I won’t win every bet, but I can assure you that following my betting advice & tips you will be on profit at the end of every month.
Advice from Alex!
Stay smart, continue to work hard, avoid greediness and never bet in retaliation. There’s definitely a better bet, whether it be tomorrow or in two weeks’ time, you just may not have found it yet. Always gamble responsibly!